The Signal and the Noise

Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger.

The Signal and the Noise

The Signal and the Noise

From the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading and useless. Nate Silver accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, cementing his reputation as one of our most prophetic forecasters. Here he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of prediction, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid the noise of data. The International Bestseller An Economist and The Times Book of the Year 'The Galileo of number crunchers.' Independent 'A 34-year old Delphic Oracle.' Daily Beast 'Fascinating . . .' Bryan Appleyard, Sunday Times 'Outstanding . . . fun to read . . . I was hooked' Tim Harford, Financial Times 'Is there anything Nat Silver could tell us that we wouldn't believe?' Jonathan Freedland 'The inhabitants of Westminster are speed-reading The Signal and the Noise . . . Remarkable and rewarding.' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph 'An outlier if we've ever soon one' New York Observer A new kind of political superstar' Observer

More Books:

The Signal and the Noise
Language: en
Pages: 534
Authors: Nate Silver
Categories: Mathematics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2013 - Publisher: Penguin Press

From the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading and useless. Nate Silver accurately predicted the results of
The Signal and the Noise
Language: en
Pages: 534
Authors: Nate Silver
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2012 - Publisher: Penguin

The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of prediction to explain how readers can distinguish true signals from hype, in a report that also reveals the sources and societal costs of wrongful predictions.
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't
Language: en
Pages: 560
Authors: Nate Silver
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2015-02-03 - Publisher:

The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of prediction to explain how to distinguish true signals from hype.
Summary and Analysis of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't
Language: en
Pages: 30
Authors: Worth Books
Categories: Study Aids
Type: BOOK - Published: 2017-01-10 - Publisher: Open Road Media

So much to read, so little time? This brief overview of The Signal and the Noise tells you what you need to know—before or after you read Nate Silver’s book. Crafted and edited with care, Worth Books set the standard for quality and give you the tools you need to
The Signal and the Noise
Language: en
Pages: 544
Authors: Nate Silver
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2012-09-27 - Publisher: Penguin

UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER "One of the more momentous books of the decade."—The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all

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